Next Month Forecast
--B
Loading monthly forecast
U.S. Food Services And Drinking Places
Restaurant Sales Forecast
A simple monthly outlook using the national Census sales series12 Month Outlook
--%
Change from the latest actual month to the end of the forecast
Latest Census Estimate
--B
Loading Census estimate
Backtest Error
--%
Mean absolute percentage error on recent monthly predictions
Sales Forecast
Actual sales and 12 month projection
Forecast Notes
What this forecast means
SourceAdvance Census via FRED
Latest data--
Model24-month linear trend
Validation36 rolling months
Sales valuesNominal, seasonally adjusted
Recent Direction
Sales change from the same month one year earlier
Straightforward By Design
One source, one baseline, one published file
Each month, AWS retrieves the Census restaurant-sales series from FRED, rebuilds this transparent trend forecast, checks recent error, and replaces one dashboard JSON file in S3. The shaded range shows uncertainty, not a guarantee.